DuckerFrontier: Auto aluminum content to grow 12% by 2026, expect more closures, fenders


A new study by DuckerFrontier for the Aluminum Association estimates automakers will incorporate 514 pounds of aluminum into the average vehicle by 2026, a 12 percent increase from today.

The expansion has significant ramifications for collision repair, as several common bodywork components are predicted to make significant shifts to aluminum.

By 2026, it’s going to be nearly certain that a hood is aluminum, and close to even money that a liftgate or tailgate will be, according to DuckerFrontier. You’ve got about a 1-in-3 chance that any fender or door on a new-car dealership lot will be aluminum.

And that’s not even getting into changes to structural components intended to produce greater efficiency in gas-powered vehicles or to manage the batteries of electrified models.

“As consumer pressures and environmental challenges increase—so too does the use of automotive aluminum. This demand is accelerating as low carbon, high-strength aluminum is helping automakers adapt to new mobility trends, and we’re bullish on the growth potential of the metal in the fast-emerging electric vehicle segment,” Aluminum Transportation Group Chairman Ganesh Panneer (Novelis) said in a statement Aug. 12. “Automotive aluminum market penetration enjoyed year over year growth the past five decades and that expansion is expected to continue as far down the road as can be projected today. As electric vehicles become more widely available, greater aluminum use to extend range and help offset battery weight and cost will ensure consumers will still be able to choose high performing cars and trucks that are safe, fun to drive and better for the protection of the environment.”

DuckerFrontier said the average vehicle in 2020 should have about 459 pounds of aluminum, “vehicle due to the increase in use of auto body sheet ( ABS), and aluminum castings and extrusions, at the expense of conventional grades of steel.”

Post time: Oct-20-2020